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Texas Tech

Texas Tech University · 2026 · Big 12

Efficiency
+10.7
30th FBS
Record
2-0
Conf. record
Conf. finish
4th
proj. of 16
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Texas Tech is 2-0 and ranked 30th in overall efficiency. Their 18th-ranked defense carries them, with a 35th-ranked offense. They run the ball on 52% of offensive plays with a 61st-ranked rushing attack and pass the ball on the remaining 48% of plays with a 65th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
Q2
0-0
+4 left
Q3
1-0
+4 left
Q4
1-0
+2 left

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 8.9 wins
Strength of Record
25th
+0.2 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
101st
full season
73rd
AP poll
#13
FanBoardHQ has them 17 spots lower
Conf. sched. difficulty
75th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~6.3 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Abilene ChristianUACW 3310+42.3100%-2.8Q4
2@ Oregon StatePac-12#83W 3524+11.5100%9.1Q3
3vs HoustonBig 12#26Preview+1.854%Q2
4vs Sam HoustonConference USA#123Preview+28.395%Q4
5@ ColoradoBig 12#81Preview+11.375%Q3
7vs Arizona StateBig 12#47Preview+7.667%Q3
8@ CincinnatiBig 12#57Preview+4.159%Q2
9vs ArizonaBig 12#35Preview+5.162%Q2
10vs West VirginiaBig 12#68Preview+15.382%Q4
11@ Oklahoma StateBig 12#88Preview+13.078%Q3
12@ BaylorBig 12#36Preview+0.251%Q2
13vs TCUBig 12#59Preview+9.772%Q3

2 played · 2-0. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Texas Tech, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-1.0+8.7+18.4-39Week 0Week 2
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 65th
SR 47thYPP 103rdEPA 61st
RushingEff 61st
SR 46thYPP 86thEPA 60th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 13th
SR 12thYPP 23rdEPA 21st
Rush defenseEff 25th
SR 9thYPP 31stEPA 38th
Dropback rate 48%Tempo +4.1 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 111th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 44%1st · Defense allowed: 25%1st2nd · Offense: 49%2nd · Defense allowed: 33%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 50%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 32%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 14.0Q1 · Allowed: 0.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 17.0Q2 · Allowed: 10.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 16.0Q3 · Allowed: 14.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 21.0Q4 · Allowed: 3.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledTexas TechOffenseDefense
Texas Tech Offense vs Defense, 2026
Offensive EffRanked 35th
+4.3
Field position: +1.0Finishing drives: +3.3
Field position +1.0Finishing drives +3.3= +4.3
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 35th · Finishing 41st

Defensive EffRanked 18th
+6.9
Field position: +1.1Finishing drives: +5.8
Field position +1.1Finishing drives +5.8= +6.9
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 30th · Finishing 22nd

2.25 points per drive on offense, 1.36 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 32.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(32)47% / 53%59%6.4
Q2(45)58% / 42%49%5.2
Q3(36)50% / 50%33%5.1
Q4(32)22% / 78%47%6.3
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(28)10.346%6.8
2nd(22)8.955%8.9
3rd(16)9.450%5.4
4th(0)
All (66)50%7.1
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(36)9.842%4.1
2nd(29)7.245%3.9
3rd(12)6.542%7.2
4th(2)1.0100%3.0
All (79)44%4.4

Texas Tech, all games.